No one really knows what is going to happen tonight. Campaigns are telling reporters off the record that they have no clue what is going to happen. With the amount of undecided voters that are coming out to caucus, there is no way of knowing what is going to happen. Anything is possible.
That being said, here are my predictions based on nothing but observations and gut feelings (I may regret this in the morning):
Democrats: Barack Obama will get significantly more votes (3% or more) than his two leading rivals and the close race will be between Hillary Clinton and John Edwards for the second and third slot. Joe Biden will surpass Bill Richardson for fourth as Chris Dodd supporters move to the Biden camp.
Republicans: Contrary to the polls, I think more Mitt Romney supporters are going to come out and caucus than those who support Mike Huckabee. Romney has a much stronger organization than Huckabee made up of longtime caucus goers that are actively mobilizing people throughout the state. John McCain will come in third and Fred Thompson will be the disappointing upset of the night.
No comments:
Post a Comment